the cultures of tech and washington are fundamentally incompatible. in tech the foundation of a good career are reckless sharing of favors, expecting nothing in return, endorsing young ideas and people, and public networks of influence in washington, any of these will end you

in the fullness of time tech will end up having dramatically less influence on american politics than finance or any other industry that was once a similar size. we are used to infinite, positive sum games. tech came in like a conquering army, and will be run out by midterms

it'll be a record year for lobbying firm profits, certainly a record year for _state house_ lobbyists as tech learns their ABCs of government, and you should expect a lot of consolidation and retirements in this space. but the # of bills will be all time low, this too will fade

if i had to make a trade: i would be willing to bet we will have two vice/presidents that spent some % of their career as venture capitalists before we have a tech native lobbying firm with >10m in durable bookings.