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The Replay Trade Trap
After a successful trade, many traders feel compelled to do it again. The setup looks similar, the thesis still applies, and the token gives what looks like a second chance.
But the second trade fails more often than not, because the trader is no longer neutral.
The first trade is approached with patience, discipline, and uncertainty. You wait for confirmation, manage risk carefully, and execute with detachment.
The second time, you carry expectation. You've already seen it work, so you're biased toward it working again. This leads to premature entries, looser risk management, and overconfidence.
The illusion is that if a trade worked once, it should work again. But that ignores context. The first trade included your patience. The second trade often includes your bias.
That changes everything.
Repeatable trades do exist, but only for those who can wait for a clean setup again. Most traders don’t. They force it. They try to relive the outcome instead of re-earning the entry.
Ironically, the first win gives you the right to wait. You’re not under pressure. You’ve already made money.
That optionality, to wait, to pass, to demand precision, is the edge most traders give away the moment they “recognize” a setup.
The second trade can work. But only if you approach it with the same patience as the first.
If you rush it, you’re not repeating the trade, you’re undoing it.
If the setup never comes back, that’s fine. You already won. Don't let greed turn a clean trade into a round trip.
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